PECOTA Goes to WAR

I'm still screwing around with the WAR spreadsheet and various projections. With Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projections for players are out so I wondered what would happen if I loaded the PECOTA projections into my WAR spreadsheet and see what it spits out.

So I used the OBP and SLG from PECOTA and converted the pitching stats to FIP to make it work. The PECOTA-WAR spreadsheet can be found here if you're interested but generally PECOTA likes our hitters more than CHONE but likes our pitchers less.

And still...it comes out to 86 wins.

Granted, I am mixing projections systems and PECOTA is only projecting the Orioles to win 79 games (probably adjusting for the division) but it goes to show you that the talent on the Orioles is higher than it's been in years and that, with a little luck, Baltimore could be a winner in 2010.

PECOTA Standings Updated...Again

It's been five days since the last PECOTA revision over at Baseball Prospectus so I am guessing all the kinks are worked out. Here's the projected AL East standings:

The Orioles lose a win since the last projection but 79-83 would still make for an entertaining season. I still can't see three teams finishing with 90+ wins in the division though.