Could Nolan Reimold or Luke Scott Play First?

This comment under my Luke Scott post got me thinking...

Replace Atkins with Pie and that lineup is a thing of beauty. It would go



S L R L R S R L S


No consecutive batters from the same side. Man I wish Trembley would let Reimold or Scott play 1st.

math_geek

First, I hadn't realized how well balanced the handedness was in my sample lineup.

But really it got me thinking about first base. Why couldn't Nolan Reimold or Luke Scott play first on a regular basis? You could still sub in Atkins to add flexibility and give Reimold his reps in left. But replacing Atkins with Pie would give the O's the best offensive lineup.

CHONE Projections for the players involved:

OPS
Atkins      .739
Reimold     .832
Scott       .808
Pie         .767
 

Even Pie is projected to be a significantly better hitter than Garret Atkins. And even if we assume average fielding from Reimold in left, Pie is a big upgrade with the glove.

Reimold and Scott would both be big offensive upgrades over Atkins but how big is the difference in their defense? For his career at first base, his UZR is -6.3. That's only over 708+ innings and is a bit of a small sample size. We'll bump him up to -.3 UZR and give him the benefit of the doubt.

Now, we can measure this in terms of WAR. How badly would Scott or Reimold have to play at first to offset the offense they bring to the table. Plugging some values into the WAR spreadsheet, this is what I came up with. (I am assuming all will be equal baserunners.)

UZR
Scott     -19.0
Reimold   -26.0

The worst defensive first baseman (of regulars) in baseball last year was Billy Butler. His UZR was -7.4. You will occasionally see a guy have a season with -16, -18 UZR (Mike Jacobs had a -19.4 UZR in 2008) but it would be virtually impossible for Scott or (especially) Reimold to play first base so badly that they would offset their much improved bats.

The best choice would be to make Scott the everyday first baseman, rotate Pie and Reimold through LF/CF/DH with Adam Jones and bring Atkins off the bench.

But that's not happening.

Valentines Day Inspiration Board by New York Wedding Invitation designer Lela New York

Credits: Luxury Invitations by Lela New York, Shoes by Louboutin, Dress by Carolina Herrera via Brides.com, Venue is The Plaza via Brides.com, Bridesmaid Dress by Jim Hjelm

Love is in the air... so get inspired :)

Reds, golds and ivories are used for this Valentines Day Inspiration Board.

Enjoy!

How NOW Brow (beats) Tebow

WaPo's Sally Jenkins weighs in on the pro-life ad to air during the Super Bowl.

I'm pro-choice, and Tebow clearly is not. But based on what I've heard in the past week, I'll take his side against the group-think, elitism and condescension of the "National Organization of Fewer and Fewer Women All The Time." For one thing, Tebow seems smarter than they do.

Wow! Read the whole thing.

NYC's Running of the Brides®, Filene’s Basement’s annual sale of wedding gowns is here!

If you haven't heard of The Running of the Brides®, at Filene’s Basement’s you are so missing out! This event only happens once a year and it's where savvy brides go and try to fight the crowds to get that amazing wedding dress of their dreams at bargain prices. We aren't allowed to reveal any designer labels but we can say that the dresses are priced from $249-$699 that might otherwise cost as much as $9,000!

photo credit: Elza Daniel

photo credit: Gary Higgins

photo credit: Robb Cohen

This event started in 1947 in the original store in and over the years has become a signature sale for us. It has grown to 7 markets now, with Boston and NYC being the biggest, in terms of both the number of gowns and attendance.The Running of the Brides at the Filene’s Basement in Union Square will have approx 2400 gowns, sizes 2 – 26. Doors open at 8:00am with the ‘rush to the racks,’ but it’s not necessary for brides to be there so early in order to snag the dress of their dreams at a bargain price. There are plenty of great deals to be found throughout the day, right up till closing at 10:00pm.

Place: Filene's Basement Union Square

Date & Time: Friday, February 5, 2010 from 8am to 10pm

You can also visit The Running of the Brides® website for more info.

GOOD LUCK!

McCarthy v. Holder et al

With the help of former CIA Director Gen. Michael Hayden, Andrew McCarthy explains the amazing buffoonery of the Obama Administration when it comes to protecting America from terrorists.

Right this minute, President Obama could designate Abdulmutallab an unlawful enemy combatant (or, as they now call it, an “unprivileged belligerent”) and proceed with his interrogation, unimpeded by a defense lawyer or Miranda restrictions. It is a power he has had every minute since Abdulmutallab’s capture five weeks ago. The case would still be there, and it would still be a slam-dunk, whether it were tried two, three, or five years from now. The only potential downside for the case is no downside at all: Prosecutors would not be able to use any statements he makes.

People can blame the attorney general, and there certainly is plenty for which he should answer. But Holder is a sideshow. These decisions are presidential decisions. The fact that Obama evidently delegates them to Holder does not change that. The policy of surrendering enemy combatants to the civilian-justice system and giving them all the rights of the American citizens whom they are trying to kill is an Obama policy being implemented by Holder; it’s not a Holder policy.

The Crystal Ball '10: Luke Scott

Now that Miguel Tejada has returned to the Orioles, there has been a lot of talk that he will be the de facto clean up hitter. But this isn't 2004. Tejada is not a slugger anymore. But Luke Scott is.

While batting orders are overrated in general, the classic wisdom wants your most powerful hitter in the clean up spot. The most powerful hitter on the Oriole roster is Luke Scott. He led the team in slugging in 2009 and if not for Aubrey Huff's career season and Mora's last gasp of baseball life in 2008, he would have led the team in slugging in 2008 too.

But he has posted an ISO (you know how I love ISO) north of .200 for the past two seasons and no other player on the roster has done that. If fact, since 2005 Scott has an ISO of .231, tied with Matt Holliday and ahead of hitters like Adrian Gonzalez, Dan Uggla, Vlad Guerrero and Curtis Granderson. He is an excellent power hitter and just on the cusp of levels that could be called elite (he's 26th since 2005...). Raw power? Scott's got plenty of it.

But for all the power he displays, Scott has hit cleanup only a handful of times since joining the team. For 2008, I can understand it as Huff was on fire and slugging .522. But last year? Only 8 games as the cleanup hitter. Scott is a flawed hitter. But he has the most important attribute for a guy hitting #4 in your lineup. Raw power.

A sample lineup:

1.  Brian Roberts

2.  Nick Markakis

3.  Adam Jones

4.  Luke Scott

5. Nolan Reimold

6. Matt Wieters

7. Miguel Tejada

8. Garret Atkins

9. Cesar Izturis

Who else is a better option? As they stand now, only Scott is a real threat to slug .500 and ISO north of .200. There's no reason not to plug him in and let him drive those runners in. So let's give him a shot and watch him rack up the RBI.

Photo by Keith Allison and used under the Creative Commons License 2.0

Obama-Style Naivete

Not even Richard Cohen is made to "feel safer" by Obama's handling of terrorists.

The announced closing of Guantanamo has also suffered from a peculiar Obama-style naivete. It is now apparent that there are some bad hombres there who should be detained way past the time they are eligible for AARP membership. It's true that the world does not like Guantanamo, but then it's also true that the world is not an al-Qaeda target.

Apparently, some on the left are finally getting it when it comes to national security.