Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Trade Value Calculator: Estimated Oriole Trade Values

A quick look at some trade values of current Oriole players using the Trade Value Calculator developed by Sky Kalkman at Beyond the Box Score. For a more detailed analysis of individual players, see the series frostking is putting together at Camden Crazies, I believe he is using the same calculator.

The rundown:



Aubrey Huff

Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $4.0 0.2 $1.1 -$2.9 $4.0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $2.5
Total $4.0 0.2 $3.6 -$0.4


George Sherrill

Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $2.8 1.5 $7.0 $4.2 $2.8
2010 $4.0 1.0 $4.7 $0.7 $4.0
2011 $4.3 1.0 $4.9 $0.7 $4.3
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $2.5
Total $11.0 3.5 $19.1 $8.1


Melvin Mora

Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $4.5 0.4 $2.0 -$2.5 $4.5
2010 $9.0 0.8 $3.8 -$5.2 $9.0
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $2.5
Total $13.5 1.2 $8.3 -$5.2


Oscar Salazar

Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $0.2 0.2 $1.1 $1.0 $0.2
2010 $0.4 1.5 $7.2 $6.8 $0.4
2011 $3.0 1.6 $7.6 $4.6 40%
2012 $4.8 1.7 $8.1 $3.2 60%
2013 $6.8 1.8 $8.5 $1.7 80%
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $0.0
Total $15.2 6.8 $32.4 $17.2


Danys Baez

Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $2.7 0.0 $0.2 -$2.5 $2.7
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $0.0
Total $2.7 0.0 $0.6 -$2.1


Cla Meredith

Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $0.2 0.2 $1.1 $0.9 $0.2
2010 $1.1 0.5 $2.7 $1.6 40%
2011 $1.6 0.5 $2.7 $1.1 60%
2012 $2.1 0.5 $2.7 $0.5 80%
2013
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $0.0
Total $5.0 1.7 $9.1 $4.1




Obviously, I made some assumptions for these calculations but I don't think they're crazy.

Aubrey Huff, at current production is a huge drain. Most of his remaining value is tied up in the fact that he may be a Type B free agent and garner the O's a draft pick if he walks. But you'd have to offer Huff arbitration for that to happen and he just might take it...

Sherrill has a ton of value due mostly to the fact that he remains under arbitration for the next three years. The Orioles should get good value for him if they plan to move him.

Mora is abysmal and in this calculation I have the O's picking up his option for 2010. Eeesh. I put him at a Type B free agent but I must have been smoking crack. No way he qualifies and no way Baltimore offers him arbitration.

Look show much value Oscar Salazar provides relative to his salary. I was very conservative with his production too; modest production in a platoon role. I think he could have been more but that ship has sailed.

That's right. Danys Baez has 0.0 WAR undoing all the good from the beginning of the season. He has little real value, antyhing Baltimore receives would be a bonus.

There's Cla Meredith. I'm being optimistic about his perofrmance. Still valuable if he can be slightly above average.

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