Friday, July 31, 2009
Base Hits: 7/31/2009
Rob Neyer of ESPN:
I'm not going to criticize the Dodgers for trading Josh Bell. Who knows? Maybe Casey Blake will live forever.
What I will do is send up a big hip-hip-hooray for the Orioles, because the single best thing any rebuilding manager can do, ever, is trade a relief pitcher in late July for a couple of solid prospects.
Let me repeat for anyone not paying attention: a relief pitcher....
If I were an Orioles fan, I would be organizing a party right now.
Evan Brunell of The Hardball Times:
The Orioles won the deal by far, however. Yes, Sherrill is a very good left-handed reliever. However, he's already 32 and is about to get extremely expensive in his second year of arbitration. Also, did I mention his career high for innings pitched is 53.1? For that, the Dodgers gave up someone who is certain to anchor the Orioles' order in a few years and an intriguing arm....
The Orioles did very well here, while the Dodgers clearly overpaid...
Matt Pouliot of NBC Sports:
So much for the thought that the Orioles would have to be overwhelmed to move their closer...
(Josh) Bell isn't the problem...Johnson is the weak link here. The Orioles should have insisted on a better second prospect than the 21-year-old. It'd be very disturbing if they let the fact that his father, Dave, was a former Oriole influence their thinking here...
...I think the Dodgers did quite well here...
Keith Law of ESPN:
The main return for Baltimore is third baseman Josh Bell, who alone is probably worth more in asset value than a good but sub-Joe Nathan, 60-inning-a-year reliever with two years of control left. Bell is a strong, athletic switch-hitter with ridiculous bat speed from the left side -- so much that his bat might be in and out of the zone too quickly. He has improving power that probably is above-average to plus in the future. He's a little rough at third but projects to stay at the position, and he has the athleticism to be above-average there with more work....
The second player Baltimore acquired, right-hander Steve Johnson, has a solid to average fastball that will touch 92 with a fringe to average changeup and a below average to average breaking ball. But Johnson has a long arm action; he shows the ball to the center fielder, pronates his forearm and comes around with a "pie-thrower" action that really looks like it's costing him command. He's a local kid and the son of former Orioles pitcher and current Orioles broadcaster Dave Johnson, so there's some karmic value there, but he looks more like a good organizational pitcher than a prospect right now.
Drew Forrester of WNST:
They’ll survive without Sherrill, obviously. I wonder, though, did the O’s inquire about Cliff Lee before the Indians dealt him to the Phillies for a couple of decent prospects and some towels? Was there ever a consideration to approach the A’s about Matt Holliday and use him as a DH and 4th outfielder?...
Selling off good players is what the Pirates do. And we all know they stink....
I wanted to be a seller by jettisoning the scrubs, not the good players.
Good teams acquire good players at the deadline.
Bad teams trade good players at the deadline.
R.J. Anderson of FanGraphs.com:
In Bell, the Orioles receive a 22-year-old switch-hitting third baseman with impressive power potential. His ISO in Double-A this season is .203, but there are some questions as to whether he’s going to stick at third for the long haul or move to a corner – either first or left/right field. Bell has had issues with strikeouts in the past which reached their apex in 2008. His walk rate has grown impressive and his strikeout numbers are down for this year, so he’s definitely an interesting player to watch for in the next few years....
The two seem like a nice coup by the Orioles in exchange for a two years and a third of Sherrill as they continue to build with impressive young talent.
Frostking of Camden Crazies:
I have mild concerns about Bell sticking at third long-term, but if he keeps hitting this well then there’s a possibility that he’ll begin 2010 as the Orioles starting third-baseman. Johnson is pretty good as a throw-in and might develop into an interesting arm. I don’t immediately love the deal, but I sure like it and it was the right thing to do. There will be talk about who takes over as closer, but given the team’s record I don’t think that really matters right now - a lot of fans (this one included) will certainly miss seeing Flat Breezy coming out from the pen though. Not a steal (the O’s come out maybe $1-3 M ahead), but Andy MacPhail once again moves the team closer to contention.
neal s at The Loss Column:
I think we’ll see Bell here either in late 2010 or 2011 at the latest — and he’ll be here as a third baseman. You can book that.
Johnson’s harder to project, but if he keeps doing what he’s doing I can see him making a bid as a back-rotation guy in maybe 2011 or 2012.
On paper this looks like another MacPhail winner. I’ll miss Sherrill, but I’ll also wish him the best out in LA. It’ll be nice to watch him pitch in October.
Cliff Corcoran from SI.com:
The reason the Orioles should be clicking their heels over this deal, and Dodgers fans should hot under the collar, is Josh Bell. He's not true blue-chipper, but as a 22-year-old switch-hitting third baseman who was hitting .296/.386/.497 in Double-A this season, he has a high ceiling and fills a big hole in their organization. Bell's defense at the hot corner could use some work, but he's already shown an ability to improve in the field.
On the chat rooms, comment sections and Twitter, the casual fan base is split between hating the deal and loving the deal. That's understandable since Sherrill has become a fan favorite in Baltimore but I love the move. It made the team younger and addressed an organizational need.
*****
The Baltimore Orioles are 14-24 against the AL East. But they are 30-33 against the rest of the league. We're getting close guys/ As bad as the pitching has been, we are nearly a .500 team outside of the AL East.
*****
Patrick Sullivan of The Baseball Analysts thinks the Orioles are close to competing in the AL East:
Given their youth, Baltimore might consider tacking on a free agent to the rotation. They will also have to cobble together a bullpen. But as it stands right now this Orioles starting staff looks like it will be able to post a season's worth of above average pitching in 2010 and quite a bit better than that in 2011 and out. When you combine this with their offensive nucleus, the Orioles appear positioned to make the moves necessary to put a contender on the field.
*****
Bergey's on the DL!
What good is having Matt Wieters on the team is he can't heal the sick and make the lame pitch again?
*****
Speaking of Wieters, his 40 games in the wilderness is over. Time for the miracles. Wieters has hit .271/.320/.392 but has hit .423/.444/.462 in the last 7 games so he's stepping it up for August.
*****
Cal Ripken Jr. will be building more youth ball parks in Baltimore and one will be something special:
The former Orioles great plans to build five youth ballparks - including one at the site of the former Memorial Stadium.
Ripken's plan is to turn the little-used field at the stadium site into a multipurpose, artificial turf sports complex.
God bless Cal Ripken. Baseball at the Memorial Stadium site will continue.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
How To Publish Post Via E-mail?
You can create a Mail-to-Blogger address which you will use to publish the posts via email to your blog:
To post to your blog via email, you need to configure your Mail-to-Blogger email address in Settings | Email:
The format of the email address will be username.secretword@blogger.com. Note that this Email must be kept secret. Otherwise, anyone who gets it will be able to post as you.
Also be sure to specify whether or not you prefer your email posts to publish automatically. If this option is not checked, then your posts will be saved on your account but will not appear on your blog until you log in to Blogger.com and publish them yourself.
Once you have saved your Settings, you can send email to your blog. The subjects of your email letters will be the titles of your posts, and the body of the emails will be the posts themselves. To include an image in your post, you can attach an image to you your email.
Notes:
• Sometimes email programs append text to the bottom of each sent message; to make sure this cruft doesn't get posted to your blog, put #end at the end of your post.
How To Publish Post Via E-mail?
You can create a Mail-to-Blogger address which you will use to publish the posts via email to your blog:
To post to your blog via email, you need to configure your Mail-to-Blogger email address in Settings | Email:
The format of the email address will be username.secretword@blogger.com. Note that this Email must be kept secret. Otherwise, anyone who gets it will be able to post as you.
Also be sure to specify whether or not you prefer your email posts to publish automatically. If this option is not checked, then your posts will be saved on your account but will not appear on your blog until you log in to Blogger.com and publish them yourself.
Once you have saved your Settings, you can send email to your blog. The subjects of your email letters will be the titles of your posts, and the body of the emails will be the posts themselves. To include an image in your post, you can attach an image to you your email.
Notes:
• Sometimes email programs append text to the bottom of each sent message; to make sure this cruft doesn't get posted to your blog, put #end at the end of your post.
How To Publish Post Via E-mail?
You can create a Mail-to-Blogger address which you will use to publish the posts via email to your blog:
To post to your blog via email, you need to configure your Mail-to-Blogger email address in Settings | Email:
The format of the email address will be username.secretword@blogger.com. Note that this Email must be kept secret. Otherwise, anyone who gets it will be able to post as you.
Also be sure to specify whether or not you prefer your email posts to publish automatically. If this option is not checked, then your posts will be saved on your account but will not appear on your blog until you log in to Blogger.com and publish them yourself.
Once you have saved your Settings, you can send email to your blog. The subjects of your email letters will be the titles of your posts, and the body of the emails will be the posts themselves. To include an image in your post, you can attach an image to you your email.
Notes:
• Sometimes email programs append text to the bottom of each sent message; to make sure this cruft doesn't get posted to your blog, put #end at the end of your post.
George Sherrill Gone! Off to LA For 2 Prospects!
Anyway, here's the haul:
3B Josh Bell
Bell is 22-years-old and played for the AA Chattanooga Lookouts until today. He has posted a .296/.386/.497 line in 94 games. 50 walks, 70 strikeouts and 11 homeruns.
If his glove is good enough to stick at 3B, he appears to be the heir apparent to Melvin Mora and is at least the equal of Brandon Snyder as a corner infield prospect.
SP Steven Johnson
21-year-old RHP (and Baltimore native and son of former Oriole hurler Dave Johnson) who has gone 9-5 with a 3.61 ERA between high A and AA in 2009. 117 strikeouts, 45 walks and 15 homers surrendered in 107.1 innings.
Not listed among the Dodgers' top prospects but a guy who can strikeout batters like that would at least project as a nice relief prospect.
I like the trade. They moved Sherrill, whose value will never be higher, got a legitimate 3B prospect (who may not be far from the big leagues) and another live arm for the farm system.
All that for a guy who was basically a throw-in in the Erik Bedard trade.
WAR Graphs: The Great Orioles of the 90's
(click on the graph for a version you can actually read...)
I decided to take a look at the great Orioles players of the 90's to see how they stacked up in terms of WAR (which includes defensive value). I only included players who played more than 5 seasons for the Orioles between 1990-1999 so Rafael Palmiero, Roberto Alomar and the like do not make the cut.
No real surprises here except maybe the inclusion of Mike Devereaux who hit fairly well for a centerfielder over the course of 7 seasons.
There's Cal's monster 1991 season looming above all with only Chris Hoiles huge 1993 as any kind of rival.
Brady Anderson exceeds Hoiles with overall WAR due to his consistency and longevity...that and his own monster season in 1996.
Cal reigns supreme, which is no surprise but I was surprised by the margin over Anderson...I thought it might be a little closer as Cal entered the twilight of his career.
Wednesday, July 29, 2009
On Matt Wieters: A Quick Rebuttal
However, he misses on a couple things that I will point out here. First, on Wieter's patience at the plate:
I don’t know if he’s just over-anxious or has some issues with pitch recognition...but until he takes a more patient approach at the plate I don’t think we’ll see quite the hitter we expected.
Well, the walks aren't there and (as frostking's data seems to indicate) Wieters is chasing ball outside of the zone. But he's not impatient.
Pitches per Plate Appearance for Baltimore Orioles:
P/PA
Wieters 4.1
Reimold 4.0
ZAUN 4.0
Roberts 4.0
Salazar 3.9
Wieters is being as patient as Oriole at the plate, he's just having issues with pitch recognition. And why is that? I have a theory.
Matt Wieters Left/Right Splits:
PA AVG OBP SLG OPS
Wieters vs RHP 80 .316 .350 .461 .821
Wieters vs LHP 69 .222 .290 .302 .611
Wieters is struggling against lefties in the majors and has been done no favors as Baltimore has been facing an unprecedented number of LHP's since Wieters arrival. A whopping 46% of Wieters' plate appearances have been against lefthanded pitching. By comparison, Brian Roberts has only faced lefties 34% of the time. Facing this much lefthanded pitching just doesn't happen over the course of a season.
So Wieters has had to make the toughest transition in sports against the best lefthanded pitchers in the world and only faced lefties 28% of the time during his entire (albeit brief) minor league career. Is it any wonder he has struggled? He's barely seen any professional lefthanded hurlers before May.
Besides, I've already told you that Christ in a Catcher's Mask needs to wander in the wilderness for 40 games before he comes to town and starts dropping the miracles. Last night was game 39 (he went 4-5) and the last 6 games he is OPSing .933.
And what rough beast, its hour come round at last,
Slouches towards Baltimore to be born?
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Base Hits: 7/28/2009
Kate Wheeler at MASN has conceptual drawings of what the complex will look like after renovations. I'll be there in 2010...
*****
Also from Kate, MASN launches MASN to GO. What is MASN to GO?
MASN to GO is a downloadable and printable stats package similar to the information MASN's on-air talent use to prepare for game broadcasts.
As stats change each night and as the O's take on a new opponent every three or four days of the season, the pdf files are automatically updated with the newest info and are available for fans each morning to enjoy throughout the day....
But it doesn't stop there. You'll have BA's against tonight's opposing starter and their averages against the O's starting pitcher, probable pitching matchups for every game scheduled that day--and tomorrow, transactions and player news, standings, league leaders, hitting stats, pitching stats...
It's a nice one stop shop for fellow bloggers and the more serious fan. Good stuff. Thanks for making that available MASN!
*****
Jonathan Mayo runs down some of the best farm systems in baseball. The Orioles still rank among the top 10 in the league on the strength of their pitching.
*****
Rich Hill stinks up the joint, offers explanation and apologizes...
"Other than that, unfortunately I haven't been able to give any kind of consistent help to this team. I apologize to the front office and the guys in this clubhouse."
Hill joins Koji Uehara as apologetic pitchers for the Orioles in 2009, an occurrence I don't remember happening even once in a previous season, let alone twice. Say what you will but Sidney Ponson or Victor Santos never apologized for sucking.
At least he's trying to be a standup guy about the whole thing. ("A 7.00 ERA means never having to say you're sorry...")
*****
Non-Orioles story: I wish I could leave this story alone but I am just so dumbfounded by the whole thing. Christine Brennan speaks to the Erin Andrews controversy again.
*****
Since June 1st,
Aubrey Huff's OPS - .609
Melvin Mora's OPS - .643
Ty Wigginton's OPS - .822
I don't think you have to be a baseball genius...Free Wiggy!
Monday, July 27, 2009
Oriole Hurlers In Review
Brad Bergesen
The rookie keeps impressing. He still needs a bit better strikeout rate (something closer to 6.0 K/9 would make me feel better) but he's doing all the other things a pitcher with his skill set needs to do to compete at the major league level. He's killing worms (49.9% ground ball rate), he's not walking guys (2.32 BB/9) and he's keeping the ball in the park (0.85 HR/9). You've got to love the attitude, the guy doesn't quit or get shell shocked. His strikeouts are a bit lacking (4.56 K/9) but he looks to have the skills to be a legitimate back of the rotation starter.
David Hernandez
Another guy who keeps succeeding on pure will power at this point. Hernandez came to Baltimore with a rep as a guy who could pile up the strikeouts but that hasn't happened yet (so far he's only striking out guys at Bergesen levels...). He has kept the ball in the park (0.80 HR/9) but is giving up fly balls at a 55% rate...so that HR rate is bound to rise and his ERA with it.
But give credit to Hernandez. He's not able to strike guys out at a rate that he's used to but he's worked around that, kept his head about him and battled the best he could. Hernanadez may not ultimately succeed but it won't be because of his makeup.
Jeremy Guthrie
Guthrie gave up his 23rd home run of the season on Saturday, one short of his career high...and it's not even August.
Guthrie is on pace to surrender 37 home runs, surpassing Sidney Ponson, Scott McGregor and Robin Roberts for the club record. According to HitTrackerOnline.com, damn near all the homers given up by Guthrie are legitimate, almost none of them are counted as lucky shots.
Here's hoping that Guthrie's just having a bad year. Better for him to return to form in 2010 than in 2009 in my opinion.
Rich Hill/Jason Berken
With the impending promotion of Chris Tillman, the fates of Hill and Berken are linked in competition to remain with the club.
Jason Berken really doesn't have the resume to be in the majors at this point. He was promoted to AAA due to a lack of arms and then promptly to the majors for the same reason. He can be a useful arm in the future but could use some more seasoning in an environment where he's not getting shelled every start. The one plus for Berken...he has a FIP of 4.76 versus his actual ERA of 6.55 which indicates that he may have been pitching better than the surface results. But I'm guessing that's small consolation to Berken.
Hill is not good. There's no doubt about it. A 7.64 ERA and a 5.13 FIP. But there are two guys struggling in the rotation and only one Chris Tillman to call up from Norfolk. If you're asking me to pick a guy for cannon fodder, I'll take the veteran and save the psyche of the kid. Fans can be angry about Hill taking the mound every 5 days but the eye has to be on 2010 and 2011. Let Berken go work things out in Norfolk/Bowie. Hill can fall on his sword for the next two months.
Chris Tillman
His stats in Norfolk:
W-L IP ERA K BB HR
Tillman - AAA 8-6 96.2 2.70 99 26 5
His last outing was not good but I imagine he'll be better than most of what we already have.
Tides vs. Braves: 7/26/2009
Not much else of note to report from the game. Brandon Snyder went 0-4 and the Tides lost 5-1. On the bright side, Screech went 2-4 to continue his fine season (.315/.390/.524) and 2B Justin Turner went 3-4 with an RBI (.304/.353/.393 overall) and could have the makings of a good utility man for the O's next year.
Nice little stadium the Gwinnett Braves built. Classic design, not too overdone.
Tillman vs. Braves
(Over at Roar from 34, Matt has a similar post as he caught Jake Arrieta on the mound when the Tides moved north and took on the Durham Bulls this weekend. We've got the south covered when it comes to your Oriole coverage. Word.)
Saturday, July 25, 2009
How Show Older Posts-Newer Posts Links At Top Of Posts
You must read the before tutorial also of mine on how to change these older-newer posts links with images and read on for adding of beautiful page navigation widget for blogger.
Now let's carry on with our tutorial on how to make navigational links to show at top instead of bottom.
Just Go To EDIT HTML page of your blog > Check mark Expand Widgets option > Now search below tag in your template.
<b:includable id='main' var='top'>
Now paste the following code below it.
<b:include name='nextprev'/>
Now you will have navigation links at top of all posts instead of having it at the bottom of all posts like picture below.
I hope you will love this trick for sure.
How Show Older Posts-Newer Posts Links At Top Of Posts
You must read the before tutorial also of mine on how to change these older-newer posts links with images and read on for adding of beautiful page navigation widget for blogger.
Now let's carry on with our tutorial on how to make navigational links to show at top instead of bottom.
Just Go To EDIT HTML page of your blog > Check mark Expand Widgets option > Now search below tag in your template.
<b:includable id='main' var='top'>
Now paste the following code below it.
<b:include name='nextprev'/>
Now you will have navigation links at top of all posts instead of having it at the bottom of all posts like picture below.
I hope you will love this trick for sure.
How Show Older Posts-Newer Posts Links At Top Of Posts
You must read the before tutorial also of mine on how to change these older-newer posts links with images and read on for adding of beautiful page navigation widget for blogger.
Now let's carry on with our tutorial on how to make navigational links to show at top instead of bottom.
Just Go To EDIT HTML page of your blog > Check mark Expand Widgets option > Now search below tag in your template.
<b:includable id='main' var='top'>
Now paste the following code below it.
<b:include name='nextprev'/>
Now you will have navigation links at top of all posts instead of having it at the bottom of all posts like picture below.
I hope you will love this trick for sure.
Thursday, July 23, 2009
Why Christine Brennan Is Undeserving of Your Attention
With that preface, I was very disappointed to hear Brennan's take on bloggers and the internet. Last month, Brennan was on an ESPN podcast called "Play Ball! with Amanda & Melissa". She was asked a general question to her thoughts on sports blogs and sports bloggers (the Raul Ibanez blogger controversy was in the news at the time) and here was her response:
"What I try to do with blogs, is I try to read the ones that come from newspapers, come from legitimate trained journalists and I would encourage anyone who listens to us or anyone who cares about this issue to do that. The guy or woman in their pajamas in a basement in Seattle or Tupelo or Bangor, Maine...they who will never be seen, who will never go to a practice or a game, they will never meet the coach, why should we listen to them? Why, why should we pay any attention to what they're saying about a pro or college team or whatever.
"That's the kind of thing that we need to discern and it's harder and harder for people to figure out what's legit and what isn't, understandably, we've all had this because you click on a website and then you click on a link and you're just clicking on those little blue lines and off you're going to another world and pretty soon you are reading the person who's sitting in their pajamas in their basement, you know, in Omaha, Nebraska. and that person who really has no training and no idea what they are talking about. And when I say that, they certainly can have an opinion but do we want to waste one moment of our time on Earth reading those opinions? I want to read the opinion of people who are there, are trained observers, whether they went to journalism school or whatever, they've invested in this career and they are trained in it and therefore they are worthy of our attention.
"But the problem is, as you've said, you know, I might be able to figure it out, you guys can figure out, OK this person is, you know, a trained working journalist there at the event. The lines blur so much, how do you start to know? and for the average casual reader, someone who's wandering around the internet, just doing what a lot of people do, trying to figure out where they are and what they're doing, those lines are blurred to the point where, you know, when you're holding a newspaper in your hand, you know who's produced it. That is the nice little real estate, the demarcation of the territory that you happen to be looking at. So a newspaper's simple. It was produced by USA Today or The Washington Post or The New York Times, that's who gave us that and it's crystal clear. And the internet, of course is completely blurred, the opposite of crystal clear and it's gonna, I think, create many more issues like this and how does the mainstream media, not that we're always right, not at all, but at least we are trained journalists, by and large, how do we react to these kinds of things?
"Another huge issue about these stories and how they catch fire and do you put out the fire or do you let it keep going? Really something and it certainly, books will be written on this topic so a couple moments don't really give it justice but I just think the best thing is go with the trained journalists who are there, who have to see the coach day in, day out, it's not hit and run kind of reporting or journalism or blogging. It's hit and stay."
A few things here...
First, I was soooo disappointed that Brennan went with the old "blogging from his basement" line. So cliche, so tired and I would expect that if Christine was going for a putdown that she would have something more original and clever than that.
Second, if you live in Seattle, Tupelo, Bangor or Omaha, you should be doubly insulted. The disdain in her voice when those cities rolled off her tongue was glaring. If you live in a small town, you are marginal in Brennan's mind.
Third, your opinion does not matter if you are not working for a newspaper or trained as a journalist. Pro sports writers have the informed opinions and if it doesn't come from them, It means nothing. Now, if Brennan wants to take a shot at a rinky-dink hobby blog like mine, fine. I see the value that blogs like mine hold, at least as a collective, but why put down the good work done by Shysterball, The Hardball Times, FanGraphs, Beyond the Boxscore and such? Those guys are doing fantastic work, covering aspects of baseball that the mainstream media doesn't touch . I once conversed with a "professional journalist" who covered baseball and sent him a player's slash line. He had to ask me what it was. I'm not putting the guy down but if you cover baseball shouldn't you have a rudimentary knowledge of modern baseball stats? But no matter. To Brennan, the work doesn't count unless it comes through official sources.
Fourth, I don't think anyone is going to click on a link at The Baltimore Sun (who has linked to my site) , come to my site and believe that they are still reading something written by a writer in their employ. Look at this place. My layout is amateurish. My writing is certainly not up to snuff. Brennan thinks people who use the internet for their news are bumbling idiots, "wandering" around aimlessly, consuming information without discretion. Brennan seems to think the public is some great unwashed who can't be trusted to read anything that does not come from a newspaper. One they can hold in their hands. That's silly and ridiculously outdated.
But none of this on the surface is a big deal. I toyed with posting about it last month and never did because I find the whole "the big bad journalist is picking on us bloggers" theme kind of tired and I truly don't care that much. But it sets a tone. A tone from Brennan that says, if you don't meet my standards of education, professionalism, geography or living quarters, you don't matter. Period.
This week, Brennan has a tweet about Erin Andrews and the voyeur who spied on her in her hotel room.
There are hundreds of women covering sports in this country who haven’t had this happen to them. I wish it didn’t happen to Erin, but I also would suggest to her if she asked (and she hasn’t) that she rely on her talent and brains and not succumb to the lowest common denominator in sports media by playing to the frat house....
Women sports journalists need to be smart and not play to the frat house. There are tons of nuts out there.
So because Erin Andrews is a very attractive young woman and the kind of reporting she does "succumbs to the lowest common denominator"...what? What does this have to with the subject you're talking about? Nothing...unless you're suggesting she brought this on herself.
Erin Andrews does not meet Christine Brennan's standards of journalism. Thus, she is not worthy of Brennan's empathy.
And with that, there's a sport columnist you never have to read again.
Later, Christine.
(posted from an office where I can see the sun...)
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Trade Value Calculator: Estimated Oriole Trade Values
The rundown:
Aubrey Huff
Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $4.0 0.2 $1.1 -$2.9 $4.0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $2.5
Total $4.0 0.2 $3.6 -$0.4
George Sherrill
Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $2.8 1.5 $7.0 $4.2 $2.8
2010 $4.0 1.0 $4.7 $0.7 $4.0
2011 $4.3 1.0 $4.9 $0.7 $4.3
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $2.5
Total $11.0 3.5 $19.1 $8.1
Melvin Mora
Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $4.5 0.4 $2.0 -$2.5 $4.5
2010 $9.0 0.8 $3.8 -$5.2 $9.0
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $2.5
Total $13.5 1.2 $8.3 -$5.2
Oscar Salazar
Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $0.2 0.2 $1.1 $1.0 $0.2
2010 $0.4 1.5 $7.2 $6.8 $0.4
2011 $3.0 1.6 $7.6 $4.6 40%
2012 $4.8 1.7 $8.1 $3.2 60%
2013 $6.8 1.8 $8.5 $1.7 80%
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $0.0
Total $15.2 6.8 $32.4 $17.2
Danys Baez
Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $2.7 0.0 $0.2 -$2.5 $2.7
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $0.0
Total $2.7 0.0 $0.6 -$2.1
Cla Meredith
Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M) Arb %
2009 $0.2 0.2 $1.1 $0.9 $0.2
2010 $1.1 0.5 $2.7 $1.6 40%
2011 $1.6 0.5 $2.7 $1.1 60%
2012 $2.1 0.5 $2.7 $0.5 80%
2013
2014
2015
2016
FA Picks $0.0
Total $5.0 1.7 $9.1 $4.1
Obviously, I made some assumptions for these calculations but I don't think they're crazy.
Aubrey Huff, at current production is a huge drain. Most of his remaining value is tied up in the fact that he may be a Type B free agent and garner the O's a draft pick if he walks. But you'd have to offer Huff arbitration for that to happen and he just might take it...
Sherrill has a ton of value due mostly to the fact that he remains under arbitration for the next three years. The Orioles should get good value for him if they plan to move him.
Mora is abysmal and in this calculation I have the O's picking up his option for 2010. Eeesh. I put him at a Type B free agent but I must have been smoking crack. No way he qualifies and no way Baltimore offers him arbitration.
Look show much value Oscar Salazar provides relative to his salary. I was very conservative with his production too; modest production in a platoon role. I think he could have been more but that ship has sailed.
That's right. Danys Baez has 0.0 WAR undoing all the good from the beginning of the season. He has little real value, antyhing Baltimore receives would be a bonus.
There's Cla Meredith. I'm being optimistic about his perofrmance. Still valuable if he can be slightly above average.
Keep Your Eye On The Ball
But let's keep our eye on the ball Oriole fans. We trotted out a rookie pitcher who didn't have his best stuff but battled and scratched his way through 6 innings all the while holding arguably the best lineup in the league to one run. 3 hits, 3 walks, 4 strikeouts. To paraphrase the song, if you can pitch there, you can pitch anywhere.
And our rookie catcher went 1-3 with a walk.
Losses still suck but let's keep in in perspective. Last night was a win for the Orioles in many ways.
Monday, July 20, 2009
Base Hits: 7/20/2009
OK, so this trade in a vacuum is 31-year old Salazar for 26-year old middle reliever. But in this case I don’t care how old Salazar is because he is a) cheap and under control (not even a full season of MLB experience yet) and b) the Orioles have a need for a bat at both corner spots in the infield, certainly this year and even more so in 2010.
The Warehouse will not pick up the option on Mora and will probably not resign Huff unless Aubrey is ready to take a big paycut. That leaves Ty Wigginton to play third base and…who’d on first? Salazar could have filled that need and given Brandon Snyder (who is not exactly tearing up AAA) more time to develop. It’s cheap offense and buys time for one of our few position player prospects. That’s value.
People act like the only choice was to trade either Salazar or Pie. There was another. Cut Melvin Mora. MacPhail seems to understand the concept of a sunk cost and with only $3 million still owed to Mora, it would have been fairly easy to do. Even with Salazar’s poor defense at third, he would still more valuable than Mora. Shift Wiggy to third and let Salazar get ABs at first, the defense is even less of an issue.
Cla Meredith is bad away from PETCO and against AL competition:
http://dempseysarmy.blogspot.com/2009/07/oscar-salazar-gone-to-san-diego.html
The splits are ugly and he may contribute absolutely nothing to the team.
A team like Baltimore needs to be creative in filling holes. They can’t attract top free agents quite yet. Who’s going to play third base next year? Or first? Retreads, has-beens or “good field, no-hit” types. Seems to me Salazar would have been at least a shot at filling the spot cheaply and maybe even produce on a regular basis. His major league OPS is .880 . His last two years in Norfolk he’s had an OPS well over .900 . Worth a shot, I think.
Now maybe MacPhail has irons in the fire that will garner Baltimore a 1B or 3B for next year. But I gave him the benefit of the doubt with the rotation this year and they really didn’t have a great plan in place for that deficiency. On the face of it, I’m calling this trade shortsighted.
I'd say this is my last word on the subject but I know if Salazar starts tearing up the NL West I'll be back here stamping my feet like a petulant child...
*****
A few loosely related things...
I finally got around to reading the Sports Illustrated Earl Weaver "Where are they now?" article.
I've toyed with the idea of writing an article about how easy it is for an Oriole fan to get on board with basic Sabermetric principals because Earl was employing them years before they had a name. But I'm not that talented a writer and Tom Verducci basically did it here.
Semi-related, former Oriole farmhhand Steve Dalkowski is being inducted into The Shrine of the Eternals. Read all about the amazing career (or lack thereof) at The Baseball Analysts and via links at Roar From 34.
So, regarding the Earl Weaver/Sabermetrics link, there was this about former Oriole manager Paul Richards:
As a manager, Richards was thrown out of games more frequently than anyone else....
He was the first manager known to enforce pitch counts to protect young arms from injury. Previously undiscovered documents reveal that Richards tracked his hitters' on-base percentages before that statistic even had a name and decades before it became a cornerstone of baseball analysis. He computed catchers' earned run averages years before the sabermetric community thought of it.
So the roots of statistical analysis (and evidently hot-headedness) run deep in Oriole managerial history.
Also, this nugget about Dalkowski:
However, to the extent that this card has any value whatsoever, it is solely due to the legend that is Dalkowski, the inspiration for Nick LaLoosh, the character portrayed by Tim Robbins in "Bull Durham."
Ron Shelton, who wrote and directed the 1988 movie classic, will introduce Dalkowski at tomorrow's induction ceremony. Shelton was a minor league second baseman for the Orioles during the '60s, yet, according to George Vecsey in an article in today's The New York Times, he and Dalkowski have surprisingly never met.
I had forgotten all about the Dalkowski's Nuke La Loosh connection and that Ron Shelton had been an Oriole farmhand. Makes me love that movie even more...
*****
Some new developments of note for Oriole Spring Training...Sarasota has cleared a major hurdle in luring the Orioles to Sarasota for Spring Training. The City of Sarasota has approved a measure to turn the stadium complex over to the city for $1 allowing the county to make a $31 million bid for the team. County officials and the Orioles report they are close to an agreement.
*****
So I switched from Sirius to XM so I could listen to baseball on the radio. It's nice.
Anyway, I was listening to MLB Home Plate and Aubrey Huff was scheduled to join the network for an interview during the 11 o'clock hour but he never showed up.
If I was a conspiracy theorist, I would imagine that it is because he is on the verge of being traded and the club doesn't want him talking to the media. If I was...
*****
Screech is tearing up the International League. Jeff Fiorentino in Norfolk:
AVG OBP SLG 2B 3B HR K BB
Fiorentino .317 .388 .527 18 4 7 44 28
Not too shabby. That gives him a MLE OPS of .793. Maybe he could be trade bait? Maybe he's finally breaking through? A long shot but worth thinking about. And good for Jeff.
Sunday, July 19, 2009
Oscar Salazar Gone to San Diego!
First, good luck to Oscar and here's hoping he gets more playing time on the west coast than he did here. Salazar should have been taking at bats from Aubrey Huff and (especially) Melvin Mora, two players who are not going to be back with the club anyway. Instead he rotted on the bench and was brilliant in his limited opportunities at the plate.
Anyhoo...
Andy MacPhail gives this quote from Roch's blog:
Meredith, 26, is a submarine-stylist who was described by Andy MacPhail, president of baseball operations, as a "poor man's Chad Bradford."
"He gets a lot of ground balls and can pitch every other day," MacPhail said. "The ground ball ratio becomes more important later in the summer in our ballpark."
Well, he does get a lot of grounders. Even this year when he seems to be off his game he is inducing grounders at a 62.2% clip. And I like submariners too. But is he anything like Chad Bradford, even a poor man's version?Bradford has only given up more than 1 home run in a season twice. He gave up 5 his rookie season and gave up 3 in 2008. All but one season was in the American League. Cla "Who stole my Y?" Meredith gave up 6 in each of the last two seasons pitching in an extreme pitcher's park in San Diego against inferior National League hitters. (To be fair he has only given up one homer this season...)
Now the disturbing splits:
W L ERA K BB HR OPS
Cla - Home 2009 2 1 2.89 12 4 1 .707
Cla - Away 2009 2 1 5.50 8 10 0 .790
Meredith takes full advantage of his home park. Is OPACY a hitter's park or a pitcher's park? How does this one look to play out?
More:
W L ERA K BB HR OPS
Cla - Interleague 2009 0 1 5.68 1 2 0 .613
Cla - Interlegue Career 0 4 5.25 14 7 3 .845
Great. AL batters hammer him too.
So he's best when he's facing NL hitters at his home park which just happens to be an extreme pitcher's park.
Maybe Rick Kranitz sees something is Meredith's delivery he thinks he can work with. Maybe MacPhail thinks that AL batters haven't seen much of Meredith so he can have some success his first time through the league and the O's can flip him in the offseason.
But I don't think so. I think the O's made a move out of desperation and don't have to guts to release the shell of Melvin Mora that is our current third baseman. This trade is as epic a fail as you can make when you trade away a bench player.
How Align Your Blog Template Design To Center Or Left
As below i will be going to tell how to do it on basic default codes given by google in there template,as the code to your template may vary from user to user.But i will guide you for sure on how to find the codes if you want to change the alignment of your template.
Like just check the snapshots of design aligned to left and center.
The above blog design is aligned to left of the screen of your computer.Now lets just check the codes of it below.
Just find the below blogger codes in your blogger html.
#outer-wrapper {
margin:0;
padding:10px;
text-align:$startSide;
font: $bodyfont;
}
Now in above code the property of margin is set 0.
If you will make it to set margin:0 auto;
Then the template design will align to center of your screen resolution,like below picture.
**Important Notes:- As the codes above i took was from google minima template.If you are using it you will do it easily.But if you are using templates by other designers you may not find codes with same name outer wrapper id.As they may have been defined differently,but the property you have to change is same as of margin in all designs.The skill you have to do is to find by which name the outer layout of your template has been defined.
In many designs you may find it with name #wrap or #wrapper or #outer-wrapper etc.
I hope you will be able to do it now,if you know little bit about template codes.
How Align Your Blog Template Design To Center Or Left
As below i will be going to tell how to do it on basic default codes given by google in there template,as the code to your template may vary from user to user.But i will guide you for sure on how to find the codes if you want to change the alignment of your template.
Like just check the snapshots of design aligned to left and center.
The above blog design is aligned to left of the screen of your computer.Now lets just check the codes of it below.
Just find the below blogger codes in your blogger html.
#outer-wrapper {
margin:0;
padding:10px;
text-align:$startSide;
font: $bodyfont;
}
Now in above code the property of margin is set 0.
If you will make it to set margin:0 auto;
Then the template design will align to center of your screen resolution,like below picture.
**Important Notes:- As the codes above i took was from google minima template.If you are using it you will do it easily.But if you are using templates by other designers you may not find codes with same name outer wrapper id.As they may have been defined differently,but the property you have to change is same as of margin in all designs.The skill you have to do is to find by which name the outer layout of your template has been defined.
In many designs you may find it with name #wrap or #wrapper or #outer-wrapper etc.
I hope you will be able to do it now,if you know little bit about template codes.
How Align Your Blog Template Design To Center Or Left
As below i will be going to tell how to do it on basic default codes given by google in there template,as the code to your template may vary from user to user.But i will guide you for sure on how to find the codes if you want to change the alignment of your template.
Like just check the snapshots of design aligned to left and center.
The above blog design is aligned to left of the screen of your computer.Now lets just check the codes of it below.
Just find the below blogger codes in your blogger html.
#outer-wrapper {
margin:0;
padding:10px;
text-align:$startSide;
font: $bodyfont;
}
Now in above code the property of margin is set 0.
If you will make it to set margin:0 auto;
Then the template design will align to center of your screen resolution,like below picture.
**Important Notes:- As the codes above i took was from google minima template.If you are using it you will do it easily.But if you are using templates by other designers you may not find codes with same name outer wrapper id.As they may have been defined differently,but the property you have to change is same as of margin in all designs.The skill you have to do is to find by which name the outer layout of your template has been defined.
In many designs you may find it with name #wrap or #wrapper or #outer-wrapper etc.
I hope you will be able to do it now,if you know little bit about template codes.
Saturday, July 18, 2009
UDC Twitter
UDC Twitter
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Base Hits: 7/16/2009
(edit: It looks like the Sarasota deal is back from the dead...)
*****
Adam Loewen is posting a .243/.348./.696 line at high A Dunedin. However, in the last month he is posting a .304/.424/.464 line and .364/.440/.591 over the last 7 days. In other words, he's trending up as a hitter.
Jerk.
Destination Wedding, Mexico Inspiration Board
Hi everyone!
Lela New York recently created luxury wedding invitations for a beautiful destination wedding in Mexico. These wedding invitations needed to be fun, romantic and show both the culture through not only visuals but it needed to be bilingual as well. Her colors are turquoise blue and Hot Pink accents. Lela New York used the Seahorse motif to represent the couple.
I'll show the finished result next posting.
Enjoy!
-Lela
Monday, July 13, 2009
Lela New York's luxury wedding invitations featured in S'Wonderful & S'Marvelous Blog
Wanted to pass along this amazing blog called S'wonderful & S'Marvelous.
They recently had a vintage post and Lela New York's wedding invitations were featured.
Here is their post:
Vintage Inspirations for the Modern Bride
Friday, July 10, 2009
And the S'Winners are ... {Top 5 Vintage Inspirations}
Photo Courtesy: Pelaez Photography{Best Bridal Adornment Inspiration}
Photo Credit: Gemma Reynolds
Submitted by: Gemma Reynolds, Photographer {London}
http://www.gemmareynoldsphotography.com/
"I am a wedding photographer and have recently been in the May/June Conde Nast Brides Magazine's wedding directory as their Central London Wedding Photographer. (and they've asked me back for the jan/feb 2010 issue too!) This image speaks "vintage weddings" to me. The organ as the backdrop, the pretty cake stand with a wonderful mixture of cakes and real flowers cup cake style, and of course, the stunning brides in carefully selected Vintage wears from Luella's Boudoir. I hope you like my photograph too!"
Well Gemma, we LOVED your yummy photo shoot soooooo much that we also wanted to post another cutie submitted by your friend - UK planner Tiffany Grant-Riley:
Submitted by: Tiffany Grant-Riley, Planner
http://www.grantrileyweddings.co.uk
http://www.grantrileyweddings.blogspot.com
Tweet: @VintagePlanner
I had to submit an image from our photo shoot, shot last week for my new promotional material. It's so fresh I only got some of the images back yesterday so this is an exclusive for you! I run a vintage wedding planning company in the UK, specializing in vintage wedding design from the 1920s to 1960s and I styled our latest shoot with a 1950s afternoon tea and fairground theme. The idea is meant to appeal to the fun loving bride who loves her classic, lady like vintage fashion but still loves good old fashioned fun!
* BEST VINTAGE-INSPIRED DECOR & ACCESSORIES *
Photo Credit: The Paris Apartment
Submitted by: Tracey Kumer-Moore, Planner {Las Vegas}
http://www.lvweddingconcierge.com/
http://lvweddingconcierge.blogspot.com
Thanks Tracey! We LOVE The Paris Apartment, too! Such great vintage inspiration not only for weddings, but for home decor as well! Tracey also added these S'WONDERFUL ideas for the use of some of these items: "The Chanel Photo Frame - great for escort card or gift table decor. Art-Deco Vanity Tray is great inspiration for tray passing cocktails." Here are a couple more photos from The Paris Apartment:
*BEST CLASSIC & TIMELESS STATIONER*
Submitted By: Maria Cerff, Creator & Designer {New York}
http://www.lelanewyork.com
http://lelanewyork.blogspot.com
Tweet: @LelaNewYork
Maria - thank you for the submission! I've seen so many AWESOME, innovative stationers and designs through the years, but being that this blog is mostly dedicated to featuring TIMELESS classics, I thought your invitations are elegantly designed and have a that little tinge of vintage & modern we LOVE @ S'Wonderful & S'Marvelous . Thanks again for sharing!
*BEST VINTAGE BRIDAL ADORNMENTS*
Photo Credits: Pelaez Photography
http://www.pelaezphotography.com
http://blog.pelaezphotography.com
Tweet: @graccipelaez
These hairpieces made her vintage look really unique. Attached are a few images from the wedding. Below is the direct link to the blog entry on our blog for more photos! We hope you like them as much as we did!
"A very quickly put together collage. From upper left; a menu from the cruises my Grandmother Howard used to take. A Christmas Card by Richard Howard he and his partner used to put together each year for clients. An amazing gown from TheFrock.Com. My GreatAunt Sylvia's wedding photograph. A funny double exposure I love, my Grandmother Howard and myself. A cute little frame with my Grandmother Cartier, my mother, uncle and aunt. To the right a picture of Emma Cartier and friend, young in Minnesota. Grandmother Nan Howard when she met Gregory Peck. Two more Christmas cards (They'd take the Oscar award winning movie and paste themselves in..hilarious)! Lastly a few of my little vintage trinkets."
Thank you so much for sharing your personal photos and inspiration collage Mindy! Vintage family photos of Grandma & Grandpa's wedding & old greeting cards are and will ALWAYS BE a mainstay in inspiring vintage-loving brides! LOVE it!
Many S'MARVELOUS thanks to all who submitted!
Thanks Candice!
You can visit her blog at:
http://swonderfulandsmarvelous.blogspot.com
Throwing Ice Water on the Brad Bergesen Enthusiasm
WAR Graph of Greatest Oriole Pitchers
(just click on the graph to get an image you can actually read...)
These are the top four Oriole pitching careers in terms of WAR. The seasons are arranged from greatest to least, not in chronological order.
As you can see, (and it's no surprise) Jim Palmer stands alone. Mussina is in the next tier although if he had remained an Oriole he probably would have bene the career WAR leader for Baltimore even though he never reached the heights that Palmer did.
Next is Dave McNally who suffered from a sharp decline. People remember Milt Pappas, almost like a punchline, as the player the Orioles sent to the Reds to acquire Frank Robinson. Pappas was a hell of a pitcher.
Show Comment Bubble At Top Of Each Blogger Posts
As you would have checked my last blogger template-The latest Blogger template for sure and must have liked it.I have made 3-4 more proffesional templates for you,but unluckily today i got my exams schedule and will not be able to post these templates for you till 30 of july,so you have to wait for them ,as they need little finishng touch and testing with an installation guide,so will post these templates in beggining of august.
So we just continue with out tutorial on how adding comment bubble to top of each blogger posts.Some tutorials like these which you would like to read for sure are show labels as tags like woork and show post date as calender widget.
For demo of comment bubble you can check the my blog as i have comment bubble or check the demo blog too.
Now To make comment bubble,Just
Login to blogger > Then go to Layout > Edit/Html > Expand Widgets > Press Ctrl+F
And Search For ]]></b:skin> tag and place the below codes before it.
.comment-bubble {
float : right;
width : 48px;
height : 48px;
background : url(http://i43.tinypic.com/dljpzo.jpg) no-repeat;
font-size : 18px;
margin-top : -15px;
margin-right : 2px;
text-align : center;
position:absolute;
padding:0px 0px 0px 0px;
}
In red above is the image link of bubble,you can use yours and don't forget to change its width and height also of the image you use.To adjust the bubble position you can edit the distance from margin-right and margin-top properties of css.
Now after adding above css just find the below codes and add the red codes in between them as i have shown below.
<b:includable id='post' var='post'>
<div class='post hentry uncustomized-post-template'>
<a expr:name='data:post.id'/>
<b:if cond='data:post.title'>
<h3 class='post-title entry-title'><b:if cond='data:post.allowComments'>
<a class='comment-bubble' expr:href='data:post.addCommentUrl' expr:onclick='data:post.addCommentOnclick'><data:post.numComments/></a>
</b:if>
<b:if cond='data:post.link'>
<a expr:href='data:post.link'><data:post.title/></a>
<b:else/>
<b:if cond='data:post.url'>
<a expr:href='data:post.url'><data:post.title/></a>
<b:else/>
<data:post.title/>
</b:if>
</b:if>
</h3>
</b:if>
Afer adding red codes in between them just preview your template,if comment bubble is ok,just save your template and you are done.Now you have added an comment bubble to bog in an very easy way you wouldn't have thought of.Enjoy this hack and let me know you liked it or not.
And Friends i will try to schedule one or two posts for you,but that for sure will be small blogger tutorials which also will be very useful for you to learn a lot.
Wish Me Good Luck For My Exams.